Consumer Discretionary Sector

August 26, 2022
Blog , CJ Lawrence , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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Turning the Page on Summer 2022, Looking to 2023, Terry Gardner, C.J. Lawrence Commentary 8.26.22

In this video, Terry Gardner shares his thoughts on earnings and interest rates, sector leadership, the outlook for the stock market and economy in late 2022 and 2023, and the benefits of long term investing. ...

June 27, 2022
Blog , The Trusted Navigator - Bernhard Koepp
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Reversal of Fortune? Dr. Copper pointing to lower inflation ahead. – C.J. Lawrence – Market Commentary – June 25, 2022

Markets on Wednesday rejoiced with a nice broad-based rally once the Fed confirmed the 75bps raise to the Fed Funds rate at its regular meeting. Fed Funds now stand at 1.50-1.75%. Even the Swiss National Banksurprised, raising rates by 50bp, a first in 15 years, lifting negative rates from -0.75% to...

March 6, 2021
Blog , CJ Lawrence , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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Market Playbook Creates Opportunities -Terry Gardner, CJ Lawrence Market Comment 2.24.2021 – YouTube Video & Transcript

In this video, Terry Gardner discusses the changes in the stock market backdrop, industry group rotations below the index level, and why winners can keep winning....

December 16, 2020
Blog , CJ Lawrence , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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Themes that Worked, Enjoying the View, Staying Selective – CJL Market Comment 12.15.20 – by Terry Gardner – YouTube Video & Transcript

In this pre-Thanksgiving video, Terry Gardner discusses the stock market rotation, the movement higher in earnings estimates, and bad news for turkeys!...

December 3, 2020
Blog , Budget , CJ Lawrence , COVID-19 , Familly , Investments , News , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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Healthy Markets and Bad News for Turkeys, Market Comment – by Terry Gardner – YouTube Video & Transcript

In this pre-Thanksgiving video, Terry Gardner discusses the stock market rotation, the movement higher in earnings estimates, and bad news for turkeys!...

September 3, 2019
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – Sales Growers in Communications Services and Healthcare Sectors Have the Right Mix

Among the S&P 500 Index sectors, Communications Services, Health Care, and Consumer Discretionary have been delivering impressive sales growth year-to-date and are expected to outpace the S&P 500 again next year....

March 11, 2019
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – The U.S. Consumer is the Global Economy’s “Atlas”

according to recent confidence and comfort index readings, the U.S. consumer is feeling strong and may be up to the task of playing the role of Atlas, who according to Greek mythology, carried the weight of the world on his shoulders. ...

February 4, 2019
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – Many Will Survive but Only Few Will Thrive in a Healthy U.S. Consumer Economy

In 2003 the Federal Reserve began releasing its Financial Obligations Ratio (FOR) which captures the share of household after-tax income that is obligated to debt repayment (including mortgages, home equity lines of credit, auto loan payments, and credit card interest), including interest and princi...

January 22, 2019
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – 2019 Outperformance May Be Found in Unlikely Places

The stock market is off to a good start in 2019. The rally began the day after Christmas and has continued through the first few weeks of January. Investors expecting a Santa Claus rally in December had been sorely disappointed by the lump of coal they received instead. But Santa l...

December 3, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – Earnings on Watch

Despite growing consensus expectations of both slowing international trade and global growth, company analysts have not dramatically ratcheted back their 2019 sales and earnings growth forecasts and are therefore unlikely to raise them if a deal is consummated. ...

October 29, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – Innovation on Sale

The recent market downdraft may be creating opportunities for active managers and investors to buy industry leaders and innovators at attractive prices. In April of this year, we authored a note titled Innovation at a Reasonable Price, which highlighted increasing rates of research and development ...

September 17, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – The New S&P Sector Construction is Coming, and It Matters

Back in March we highlighted an announcement by S&P Global, Inc. that stated it was realigning three of its eleven S&P sectors, on Sept 28, to more accurately reflect the constituents’ lines of business. The realignment will result in changes to the make-up of the Technology and Consumer Discreti...

August 13, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly Market Comment – S&P 500 Companies Beat High 2Q18 Expectations

Second quarter earnings growth is now on track for the highest level achieved since the third quarter of 2010. According to data from FactSet, over 79% of reporting companies delivered positive earnings surprises in 2Q18, which is the highest positive surprise result since they began tracking the d...

July 2, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly Market Comment – New S&P Sector Construct Could Create Volatility this Summer (Repost from March 12, 2018)

Followers of the CJL Weekly Market Comment are familiar with our practice of looking below the broader market indices to compare the fundamentals, price performance, and valuations of the 11 different S&P Sectors, 24 Industry Groups and, 157 Sub-Industries. This style of analysis dates back to the o...

May 29, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – Growth Stocks Reaccelerate

Since January of 2009, the S&P 500 Growth Index has delivered a 326% total return, while the S&P 500 Value Index returned 212% during the same period. Definitions of what constitutes value stocks and growth stocks differ, but most agree that to qualify as a value stock a company’s shares should ...

May 21, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C. J. Lawrence Weekly – Healthy U.S. Consumer is Bullish for Consumer Discretionary Sector Leaders

As we take a look at retail sales and the health of the U.S. consumer, some have suggested that the consumer is extended. But by the Fed’s proprietary measure, the U.S. consumer’s balance sheet looks pretty healthy. The healthy pace of retail sales, and historically high readings for Consumer C...

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