Tariffs

August 26, 2019
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – The Uncertainty Meter is Pegged

Friday’s stock market price action was emblematic of the current headline driven market. Initially, investors took comfort from comments that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made at a gathering of central Bankers in Jackson Hole, suggesting that the Fed was ready to take further action if needed...

July 1, 2019
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – The Wall of Worry is Painted Gold

The geopolitical backdrop is changing fast and the markets are taking note. This past weekend the US and China agreed to resume trade talks and the U.S. agreed to delay the next round of trade tariffs. In exchange, China has apparently agreed to purchase more U.S. agriculture products.&n...

May 9, 2019
Blog , The Trusted Navigator - Bernhard Koepp
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The Market’s Obsession with Tariffs by Bernhard Koepp

At C.J. Lawrence we are spending less time in our investment process trying to second guess the outcome of the trade war between the US and China but more on finding interesting investment opportunities in what we call “The Digital Divide”. ...

November 12, 2018
News & Media
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C.J. Lawrence’s Terry Gardner Quoted in Yahoo Finance – November 12, 2018

“Spreads [S&P 500 earnings yield vs. current levels of interest rates] still favor stocks but the market is looking for more direction on the future of corporate profit growth before making its next move. This is a time to be increasingly selective and focus on companies that are growing market ...

September 10, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly – Stock Valuations and Earnings Growth Play Tug-of-War in Earnings-Driven Markets

rom the beginning of 2013 to the end of 2017 the S&P 500 Index price rose 87%. During that period S&P 500 earnings per share rose 25% while the Index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple expanded by 62%. That mix is now reversing. The P/E multiple on the S&P 500, using next-twelve-months earnings...

September 4, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly Market Comment – Freight Economy Remains Strong Despite Tariff Uncertainty

Despite the uncertainty and trade posturing, the S&P Road and Rail sub-index, which contains four railroads and a long-haul trucker, is up almost 22% in the last six months. Financial performance for the group has been steady with earnings per share growth for the index forecasted to climb 40% this...

August 27, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly Market Comment – Irrational Exuberance? No. Healthy Skepticism.

Domestic equity mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs) continue to experience net outflows, while bond mutual funds and bond exchange traded funds continue to experience inflows. Net flows out of domestic equity funds totaled $66 billion in 2016, $50 billion in 2017, and have already experien...

August 13, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C.J. Lawrence Weekly Market Comment – S&P 500 Companies Beat High 2Q18 Expectations

Second quarter earnings growth is now on track for the highest level achieved since the third quarter of 2010. According to data from FactSet, over 79% of reporting companies delivered positive earnings surprises in 2Q18, which is the highest positive surprise result since they began tracking the d...

June 25, 2018
News & Media
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C.J. Lawrence’s Terry Gardner Quoted in TheStreet – June 25, 2018

Even amid the tariff fears, C.J. Lawrence's Terry Gardner sees optimism for investors in industrial stocks, especially defense stocks...

April 9, 2018
Blog , The Portfolio Strategist - Terry Gardner
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C. J. Lawrence Weekly – Dividend Growers Provide Stability in Choppy Markets

Improving fundamentals and corresponding increases in corporate cash flow should help dividend payors maintain and increase payouts to shareholders in 2018. Shares of companies with track records of consistent and meaningful dividend increases, look poised to outperform in 2018 and deserve a meanin...

March 23, 2018
Blog , The Trusted Navigator - Bernhard Koepp
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Where to Hide In A Stormy Environment?

In short, rising trade wars or reciprocal tariffs regardless of what sector they effect, if implemented, make whatever they target more expensive. This adds fuel to the idea that we need to be positioned for inflation down the road....

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