- July 16, 2024
- News & Media
Special Report: Trump Trade 2.0 on Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid
It’s a critical time for this country and also for investors. The recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump has intensified focus on the 2024 presidential race. This was the topic of a recent discussion on Opening Bid between Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi, CJ Lawrence Investment Manager and Portfolio Strategist Terry Gardner, Stifel Chief Washington Policy Strategist Brian Gardner, and Yahoo Finance Washington Correspondent Ben Werschkul.
Together, they analyzed the intense political landscape, potential trade policies under Trump versus Biden, and the market implications of each candidate’s potential presidency. Let’s dive into some key takeaways:
- Investor Lens: Investors are now closely watching the political landscape due to the upcoming election and Trump’s polling lead.
- Political Benefit: Markets have reacted positively to the increased likelihood of a Trump victory, as the team feels it’s good for business.
- Positive Perception: A second Trump presidency is generally viewed as positive for the markets due to expectations of lower taxes and deregulation, though experts caution that the realignment of the Republican party could complicate the enactment of significant tax cuts.
- Points of Convergence: Regardless of who wins the election, experts feel individual tax cuts for most people will likely be extended.
- Trade Assessment: The impact of potential trade policies was discussed with the expectation of increased tariffs, particularly on China. While tariffs could be inflationary, they might also encourage reshoring of manufacturing.
- Republican Sweep: Discussion noted that even with a Republican majority, effective control of the Senate would require reaching 60 votes.
Overall, Terry believes a calmer political climate—where rhetoric is toned down and replaced by a more measured approach—would benefit both stocks and bonds. Listen until the end when he cites the best sector for Trump Trade 2.0 in Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid Special Report.